| Risk Damage Structures | Po (kPa) | Damage of Building Structure |
|---|---|---|
|
RDS1 Insignificant (0.14 – ≤2 kPa) |
0.14 | Annoying noise (137 dB if low frequency, 10–15 Hz). |
| 0.21 | Breakage of large windows previously under stress. | |
| 0.28 | Loud noise (143 dB), sonic boom, glass failure. | |
| 0.69 | Small windows break due to pressure. | |
| 1.03 | Typical pressure to break glass. | |
| ≤2 | Accidental glass damage. | |
|
RDS2 Minor (>2 – ≤9 kPa) |
2.07 | "Safe distance," 95% probability of no serious damage below this level, projectile limit, minor ceiling damage, 10% window breakage. |
| 2.76 | Limited minor structural damage. | |
| 4.8 | Minor structural damage to houses. | |
| 6.9 | Partial house collapse, uninhabitable. | |
| 9 | Slight distortion of coated steel frames. | |
| >2 - ≤9 | Minor glass breakage and light architectural damage such as displacement of roof tiles and falling plaster. | |
|
RDS3 Moderate (>9 – ≤25 kPa) |
13.8 | Partial collapse of roof and walls. |
| 15.8 | Lower limit of serious structural damage. | |
| 17.2 | 50% of brick walls collapse. | |
| 20.7 | Heavy machinery (3,000 lb) slightly damaged in industrial buildings; steel frames distorted or detached from foundation. | |
| >9 - ≤25 | Widespread glass shattering and significant damage to non-structural elements like doors, windows, and roofs. | |
| 13.8 - 20.7 | Collapse of unreinforced concrete walls or cement blocks. | |
| 20.7 - ≤25 | Frame-less steel panels destroyed; oil storage tanks ruptured (20.7 kPa - ≤25 kPa). | |
|
RDS4 Serious (>25 – ≤40 kPa) |
27.6 | Light industrial structures collapse. |
| 34.5 | Utility poles break; 40,000 lb hydraulic equipment slightly damaged. | |
| 25 - 27.6 | Frame-less steel panels destroyed; oil storage tanks ruptured (25 kPa - 27.6 kPa). | |
| >25 - ≤40 | Extensive damage to non-structural elements such as brick facades, roofs, and ceilings. | |
| 34.5 - ≤40 | Near-total destruction of residential houses (34.5 kPa - ≤40 kPa). | |
|
RDS5 Severe (>40 – ≤55 kPa) |
48.2 | 8–12 inch thick unreinforced brick panels fail from shear or bending. |
| 40 - 48.2 | Near-total destruction of residential houses (40 kPa - 48.2 kPa). | |
| >40 - ≤55 | Heavy damage to non-structural elements leading to ceiling collapse. | |
| 48.2 - ≤55 | 8–12 inch thick unreinforced brick panels fail from shear or bending (48.2 kPa - ≤55 kPa). | |
|
RDS6 Major (>55 – ≤76 kPa) |
62 | Freight train cars completely destroyed. |
| 55 - 55.1 | 8–12 inch thick unreinforced brick panels fail from shear or bending (55 kPa - 55.1 kPa). | |
| >55 - ≤76 | Partial collapse of non-structural elements and significant damage to concrete columns. | |
|
RDS7 Catastrophic (>76 kPa) |
68.9 | Likely total damage to structures; 7,000 lb equipment displaced and severely damaged; 12,000 lb machinery still present. |
| 2068 | Limit of crater lip | |
| >76 | Near-total collapse of all building elements, including heavy damage to load-bearing concrete columns. |
| Risk Injury | Po (kPa) | Primary Effects | Secondary/Tertiary Effects | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Minor Injury (<20 kPa) |
<20 | No serious injuries; eardrum rupture is not significant. | Glass cracking can begin around 1–1.5 kPa; widespread breakage typically 2–9 kPa. | Primary injury is unlikely, but secondary injury risk from glass fragments remains. |
|
Moderate Injury (20–30 kPa) |
20–30 | Minor contusion; 1% eardrum rupture (20–30 kPa). | Moderate structure damage may cause ceiling sections to fall and small objects to drop. | Combination of minor contusion and secondary injuries from fragments/debris. |
|
Serious Injury (30–50 kPa) |
30–50 | Moderate contusion; eardrum rupture probability 50% around 110 kPa. | Wider structural damage creates flying debris, which can cause fractures. | Injury severity rises due to the combined effects of the blast wave and flying debris. |
|
Severe Injury (50–100 kPa) |
50–100 | Serious internal contusions and possibly fatal; risk of blast-lung depends on positive-phase duration with overpressure 70 kPa at 50 ms or 140–200 kPa at 3 ms. | Many buildings heavily damaged; some may be totally destroyed, creating entrapment under rubble. | Concurrence of internal injuries and entrapment is potentially fatal. |
|
Fatality (>100 kPa) |
>100 | High mortality for unprotected persons, but thresholds depend on positive-phase duration: 1% lethality 190 kPa at 50 ms or 400–500 kPa at 3 ms. | Total building collapse; large debris moving rapidly. | Fatality risk escalates where both overpressure and duration exceed thresholds. |
| Risk Damage Equipment | Po (kPa) | Impact of Process Equipment |
|---|---|---|
|
RDE1 Insignificant (<3.45 kPa) |
<3.45 | No significant damage to process equipment is recorded. |
|
RDE2 Minor (3.45 – <10.34 kPa) |
3.45 | Windows and gauges in both steel- and concrete-roof control houses break, and louvers on the cooling tower fall off. |
| 6.89 | The steel-roof control house roof collapses and damages the switchgear, instruments in the concrete-roof control house are damaged, and the cone-roof tank roof collapses. | |
|
RDE3 Moderate (10.34 – <27.58 kPa) |
10.34 | The steel-roof control house roof collapses, the frame of the concrete-roof control house deforms, and windows and gauges in the instrument cubicle break. |
| 13.79 | The concrete-roof control house roof collapses, internal parts of the cooling tower are damaged, fire-heater bricks crack, windows and gauges of the chemical reactor break, and the filter suffers debris/missile damage. | |
| 17.24 | The fire heater is displaced and connected pipes break. | |
| 20.68 | Cone-roof and floating-roof tanks uplift and become tilted, power lines in the instrument cubicle are severed, controls are damaged, and the regenerator moves so that attached piping breaks. | |
| 24.13 | Block walls of both steel- and concrete-roof control houses fall, the cooling-tower frame collapses, the cracking reactor moves and attached piping breaks, and pine-support frames deforms. | |
|
RDE4 Serious (27.58 – <41.37 kPa) |
27.58 | The chemical reactor moves and its connected piping breaks. |
| 31.03 | Internal parts of the filter are damaged, the gas-meter case is damaged, and the utilities electronic transformer suffers debris/missile damage. | |
| 34.47 | The fire heater overturns or is destroyed, the regenerator moves and piping breaks, structural frames deform, debris from the electric motor causes missile damage, and the blower case is damaged. | |
| 37.92 | The fractionation-column frame develops cracks. | |
|
RDE5 Severe (41.37 – <55.16 kPa) |
41.37 | The instrument cubicle overturns or is destroyed, piping on pine supports breaks and the frame collapses, horizontal pressure-vessel frames deform, several units move with broken pipes, and the gas-regulator utilities unit moves and its piping breaks. |
| 44.82 | Cone-roof and floating-roof tanks uplift with large tilt, the chemical-reactor frame deforms, and the extraction column moves so that connected piping breaks. | |
| 48.26 | The cracking reactor moves and piping breaks, and the fractionation column overturns or is destroyed. | |
| 51.71 | The regenerator overturns or is destroyed, the utilities electronic transformer moves and piping breaks, and both the steam turbine and heat exchanger move so that their connected piping breaks. | |
|
RDE6 Major (55.16 – <82.74 kPa) |
55.16 | The spherical tank moves and its connected pipes break. |
| 62.05 | The chemical reactor overturns or is destroyed, the electric motor moves and piping breaks, and the horizontal pressure vessel and heat exchanger overturn or are destroyed. | |
| 65.5 | The filter uplifts and is heavily tilted. | |
| 68.95 | The utilities electronic transformer and the blower overturn or are destroyed, the gas regulator controls and case are damaged, and the extraction column shifts on its foundation. | |
|
RDE7 Catastrophic (≥82.74 kPa) |
82.74 | The filter, cracking reactor, and extraction column overturn or are destroyed, steam-turbine controls are damaged, and the vertical pressure vessel and pump move with broken pipes. |
| 96.53 | Steam-turbine piping breaks, the spherical tank moves and piping breaks, and the vertical pressure vessel overturns or is destroyed. | |
| 110.32 | The spherical tank overturns or is destroyed and the pump shifts on its foundation. | |
| 137.9 | The floating-roof tank roof collapses, the electric motor moves on its foundation, and the steam turbine moves on its foundation. |
[1] Wang, Q., Zhang, L., Wang, L., & Bu, L. (2023). A practical method for predicting and analyzing the consequences of ammonium nitrate explosion accidents adjacent to densely populated areas. Heliyon, 9(5), e15616. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15616
[2] Crowl, D. A., & Louvar, J. F. (2011). Chemical Process Safety: Fundamentals with Applications (3rd ed.). Prentice Hall. (citing V. J. Clancey, “Diagnostic Features of Explosion Damage,” paper presented at the Sixth International Meeting of Forensic Sciences, Edinburgh, 1972).
[3] Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS). (2000). Guidelines for Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons. (citing V. J. Clancey, “Diagnostic Features of Explosion Damage,” paper presented at the Sixth International Meeting of Forensic Sciences, Edinburgh, 1972).
[4] Jeremić, R., & Bajić, Z. (2006). An approach to determining the TNT equivalent of high explosives. Scientific Technical Review, 56(1), 58–62.